Japan Post Bank Stock Performance

JPPTY Stock  USD 19.50  0.11  0.57%   
JAPAN POST holds a performance score of 13 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.78, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, JAPAN POST's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding JAPAN POST is expected to be smaller as well. Use JAPAN POST BANK sortino ratio, semi variance, rate of daily change, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and kurtosis , to analyze future returns on JAPAN POST BANK.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in JAPAN POST BANK are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, JAPAN POST showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow60.7 T
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.6 T
  

JAPAN POST Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,045  in JAPAN POST BANK on November 22, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  905.00  from holding JAPAN POST BANK or generate 86.6% return on investment over 90 days. JAPAN POST BANK is currently producing 1.2762% returns and takes up 7.7865% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 69% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than JAPAN, and 75% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon JAPAN POST is expected to generate 10.44 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 10.44 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of risk.

JAPAN POST Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of JAPAN Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 19.50 90 days 19.50 
about 7.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JAPAN POST to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.0 (This JAPAN POST BANK probability density function shows the probability of JAPAN Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon JAPAN POST has a beta of 0.78. This indicates as returns on the market go up, JAPAN POST average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding JAPAN POST BANK will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover JAPAN POST BANK has an alpha of 1.2337, implying that it can generate a 1.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   JAPAN POST Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for JAPAN POST

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JAPAN POST BANK. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of JAPAN POST's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.7119.5027.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.0314.8222.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.7718.5626.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.8919.9536.01
Details

JAPAN POST Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JAPAN POST is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JAPAN POST's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JAPAN POST BANK, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JAPAN POST within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.78
σ
Overall volatility
3.34
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

JAPAN POST Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JAPAN POST for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JAPAN POST BANK can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
JAPAN POST BANK is way too risky over 90 days horizon
JAPAN POST BANK appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

JAPAN POST Fundamentals Growth

JAPAN Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of JAPAN POST, and JAPAN POST fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on JAPAN Pink Sheet performance.

About JAPAN POST Performance

Evaluating JAPAN POST's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if JAPAN POST has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if JAPAN POST has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
JAPAN POST BANK Co., Ltd. provides various banking products and services to retail and corporate clients in Japan and internationally. JAPAN POST BANK Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd. Japan Post operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 12219 people.

Things to note about JAPAN POST BANK performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about JAPAN POST for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for JAPAN POST BANK help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
JAPAN POST BANK is way too risky over 90 days horizon
JAPAN POST BANK appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Evaluating JAPAN POST's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate JAPAN POST's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing JAPAN POST's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether JAPAN POST's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining JAPAN POST's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating JAPAN POST's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of JAPAN POST's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of JAPAN POST's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into JAPAN POST's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating JAPAN POST's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact JAPAN POST's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for JAPAN Pink Sheet Analysis

When running JAPAN POST's price analysis, check to measure JAPAN POST's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy JAPAN POST is operating at the current time. Most of JAPAN POST's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of JAPAN POST's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move JAPAN POST's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of JAPAN POST to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.